Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 188.738707 225.263223 270.422930 331.630152 414.510128 526.162467 6.942759e+02
2025-01-19 139.292398 179.830762 236.353767 325.009771 469.382614 714.857070 1.221619e+03
2025-01-26 122.806335 167.918660 236.817156 358.563817 592.465568 1096.204078 2.628315e+03
2025-02-02 115.616428 166.192060 250.012879 416.018803 795.161124 1879.153240 7.909393e+03
2025-02-09 101.429314 149.907414 234.075802 412.531096 868.144557 2471.397054 1.888971e+04
2025-02-16 91.984844 139.435298 225.445278 420.145801 976.980706 3461.888980 7.771770e+04
2025-02-23 84.493101 130.907413 218.273292 428.127773 1097.394527 4969.578030 2.029944e+06
2025-03-02 78.839275 124.681434 214.128800 441.891491 1255.662309 7702.908682 NaN
2025-03-09 73.355434 117.920427 207.432107 446.659592 1390.937106 11750.166120 NaN
2025-03-16 67.166054 109.019057 194.548960 429.972236 1419.982248 15219.658773 NaN
2025-03-23 64.364582 106.305227 194.749427 451.906236 1675.595789 31939.218093 NaN
2025-03-30 59.457472 98.862938 182.984578 432.963355 1685.340359 43411.482196 NaN
2025-04-06 55.822792 94.089593 177.843138 438.235700 1896.489577 115398.581253 NaN
2025-04-13 51.733665 88.016082 168.811371 428.172832 2006.266782 326712.539377 NaN
2025-04-20 50.817875 88.381560 175.547036 478.202558 2773.146961 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 51.027083 91.151550 189.131699 565.864991 4538.538642 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 48.049016 86.515191 181.896831 560.474228 5040.804381 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.884502 83.471386 178.556233 572.255154 6067.723916 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.937214 80.710069 175.527990 584.649198 7391.956848 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.370553 78.661850 174.221986 606.128024 9546.995759 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.619753 76.001728 170.627020 613.600261 11625.741636 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.334731 71.873209 161.936331 587.519704 11729.593187 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.415135 70.944044 163.047288 621.841014 17154.429006 NaN NaN